The tight Virginia Governor’s race is showing very late movement. A series of six polls, all conducted between Oct. 29 and Nov. 3, show Democratic Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam’s lead dissipating to an average of one percentage point. The most accurate pollster since the 2016 election, inclusive, the Trafalgar Group, projects an exact one-point separation. The poll (10/29-11/2; 1,200 VA likely voters) finds Mr. Northam edging Republican nominee Ed Gillespie, 49-48%. This means a turnout battle is on. If central, southern, and western VA participates in high numbers, Mr. Gillespie could be in position to score an upset. Mr. Northam needs a strong turnout from northern Virginia and the Tidewater to stem the Republican tide.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.