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Four-term Rep. Mark Amodei’s (R-Carson City) name often comes up in Nevada statewide speculation, suggesting he is looking for opportunities beyond continued tenure in the House. Though late last week saying he would not run for the open state Attorney General’s position next year – incumbent Adam Laxalt (R) has the inside track to the open gubernatorial nomination – he didn’t deny that outright retirement is a possibility. The 2nd District is Nevada’s northern seat, anchored in the city of Reno. It is safe for Rep. Amodei and should play as safely Republican in an open seat situation.
--Jim Ellis The NRCC continues the successful line of attack casting Jon Ossoff (D) as a out of touch outsider in the Georgia 6th runoff. The race should have shifted to a safe Republican pick up, but the strong performance by Ossoff in April shows he could still win the race depending on who turns out voters better in the Jun 20th runoff. With that said it is interesting that national forces haven't invested more in the ground game at this point and instead continue with the ad war. Democrats are also probably wishing they had successfully recruited former State Representative Tyler Bennett (D) to run for this seat as he is a much stronger candidate. More on that in the run up to June. --Andrew Blascovich With the primary for the special election to fill the open South Carolina 5th Congressional District tomorrow outside money just started to play in the race this past weekend. State House Speaker Pro Tempore is the beneficiary of this first outside money in this race and it is aimed at continuing his campaign of raising his name ID and his platform. This shows him to still be a front runner and polling far enough ahead that the question is who will join him in the GOP runoff in two weeks. --Andrew Blascovich Rep. Ilena Ros-Lehtinen (R-Miami) became the first Cuban American ever to serve in Congress when she won a special election back in 1989 to replace the late Rep. Claude Pepper (D). After serving 35 consecutive years in the Florida House, Senate, and US Congress, becoming dean of the nation’s third-largest congressional delegation, Ms. Ros-Lehtinen will announce her decision not to seek a 16th US House term at a news conference later today.
Though the re-designed 27th District is the strongest Hillary Clinton district to elect a Republican to the House, the Congresswoman underscored that she had every confidence of winning again, and simply decided the timing was right for her to retire. The 27th, which covers a large portion of the Miami metro area including Miami Beach, will yield a hotly contested campaign. In an open seat situation, it may well be the Democrats holding the inside track to convert the seat. Much more on this campaign will come as multiple candidates will soon be coming forward. --Jim Ellis Two US House members originally stated they would decide by the end of April if they would run statewide in 2018. Now, both have postponed their decisions. Reps. Rick Nolan (D-MN) and Joaquin Castro (D-TX) say they will decide about running for Governor and US Senate in their respective states at a later time. Neither ruled out running, nor did they announce their statewide candidacies. Should both decide to run, they would each face strong already announced Democratic primary opponents who are actively running for the statewide nomination.
--Jim Ellis |
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