PA-18: Monmouth U Poll

Monmouth University released their latest study of the western Pennsylvania electorate with a month remaining in the 18th District special election campaign.  According to the poll (2/12-14; 320 PA-18 likely special election voters), state Rep. Rick Saccone (R-Elizabeth) would lead Democrat Conor Lamb across the turnout spectrum.
 
Under the highest turnout model, which Monmouth describes as the “Surge” model, the Republican nominee would lead his Democratic counterpart, 49-46%.  Under a “high” turnout forecast, Saccone’s edge increases to 48-44%.  If voter participation drops to a low ebb, something certainly not predicted in this poll as 83% of the respondents answered that they are paying “a lot” of attention to the special election, Saccone records his best margin spread at 50-45%. 
 
Additionally, in a separate occurrence yesterday, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee chairman Ben Ray Lujan (D-NM) remained silent as to whether his committee will be supplying Lamb with further financial support.  The special election is scheduled for March 13th. 
 
--Jim Ellis