NV-3: Tarkanian Up

A new Strategic National poll (3/10-11; 400 NV-3 likely voters), taken just before 2016 Republican nominee Danny Tarkanian switched out of the Senate race and into this campaign, finds him substantially leading all of the GOP candidates who announced weeks ago.  According to the data, Mr. Tarkanian scores a 37-10-9-9-1% lead over former television news reporter Michelle Mortensen, state Sen. Scott Hammond, ex-Assemblywoman Victoria Seaman, and former Clark County Republican Party chairman Dave McKeon, respectively.  Upon Tarkanian re-entering the congressional campaign, Ms. Seaman withdrew her candidacy. 
 
Mr. Tarkanian has fared well in Republican primaries, but has failed to win four different general elections.  Should he again become the nominee, look for likely Democratic nominee Susie Lee, the Communities of Nevada School Board president, to be rated as the general election favorite.  The 2016 race was decided by just one percentage point, and in favor of first-time candidate Jacky Rosen.  The freshman Congresswoman is now running for the Senate.

--Jim Ellis