The Global Strategy Group surveyed a series of polls for the League of Conservation Voters and the Environmental Defense Fund in which 20 swing districts were tested from a pool of 2,000 respondents. GSG then added over-samples of 300 voters in each of the districts. The questionnaires concentrated heavily on environmental regulation/public lands queries and included several push questions to create a negative image of the Republican candidate in each district. The polls were conducted between the June 11-21 period.
The GSG (6/11-21; 400 NJ-3 likely general election voters) results in Rep. Tom MacArthur (R-Toms River) and former National Security Council official Andy Kim (D) recording the same general election voter support, with the two tied at 42%, apiece. The pollsters asked several negative push questions that describe Rep. MacArthur as a Congressman who “won’t hold polluters accountable.” They also added the questions outlined in the CA-25 snippet. Post-push questions, Democrat Kim leads 50-34%.
The Congressman won a twenty point, 59-39% victory in 2016, however, and the 3rd District historically provides polling results that haven’t necessarily reflected the race’s eventual outcome.
The Rundown Blog
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