Just days after the New Mexico Libertarian Party officially asked former Republican Governor and Libertarian Party presidential candidate Gary Johnson to assume the party’s US Senate nomination after the man who won the June 5th primary, Aubrey Dunn, withdrew, Sen. Martin Heinrich (D) released his internal polling numbers. Mr. Johnson says he is considering whether to accept and may take several days before rendering a decision.
Seeing Johnson’s potential move, Sen. Heinrich quickly released his GBA Strategies survey (8/1-5; 800 NM likely voters) that finds the former Governor entering the race would virtually seal the incumbent’s re-election. According to the poll results, Sen. Heinrich would register 47% support if Republican Mick Rich and Mr. Johnson were both on the ballot opposing him. In this configuration, Rich would score 29%, and Johnson 22%. Therefore, even though Sen. Heinrich would likely drop below 50%, the split vote would make him a lock for re-election.
As an illustration, if Heinrich and Johnson were in a one-on-one match, which won’t happen, the Senator would lead the former Governor, 50-38%. Sen. Heinrich’s job approval ratio is 53:33% positive to negative.
The Rundown Blog
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