MN-2: Rep. Lewis Slightly Up

The Global Strategy Group surveyed a series of polls for the League of Conservation Voters and the Environmental Defense Fund in which 20 swing districts were tested from a pool of 2,000 respondents.  GSG then added over-samples of 300 voters in each of the districts.  The questionnaires concentrated heavily on environmental regulation/public lands queries and included several push questions to create a negative image of the Republican candidate in each district.  The polls were conducted between the June 11-21 period.
  
The GSG (6/11-21; 400 MN-2 likely general election voters) tests Minnesota freshman Rep. Jason Lewis’ (R-Woodbury) bid for re-election.  While clear that former healthcare company executive Angie Craig (D) will be the Democratic nominee because she is unopposed in the August 14th primary, the pollsters did not test her against Rep. Lewis.  Instead, they preferred to use a generic Democratic label.  

In 2016, Mr. Lewis scored a 47-45% victory despite Ms. Craig being commonly viewed as the favorite.  According to the first ballot test, Mr. Lewis leads a generic Democratic candidate by a similar result, 43-42%.  After all of the push questions tarnish him, the race moves to 45-36% in the unnamed Democrat’s favor.