Last week, Remington Research, as we reported, released a survey giving Attorney General Josh Hawley (R) a 49-45% lead over Sen. Claire McCaskill (D), the second time this polling firm reported such a finding. Public Policy Polling, surveying for the liberal Majority Institute (1/8-9; 965 MO registered voters), puts McCaskill back in the lead, however, but with the slightest of margins, 45-44%. The sampling universe appears to contain a Democratic skew, however. In a state that has lurched to the right since the turn of the century, this sample actually gave the Democrats a 37-34% plurality. Together, the two polls suggest that the Senate race is clearly within the margin of polling error and should be considered a toss-up, even at this early stage of the election cycle.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.