A new TJP Strategies survey for the Missouri Scout political blog (8/8-9; 1,785 MO likely voters) finds Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) and Attorney General Josh Hawley (R) in a flat tie at 47%, apiece. The result is in line with other recent publicly released surveys. No poll has showed anything but a race where the two contestants are in a virtual dead heat.
The results are tight across the board. Little gender gap exists. Among women, Sen. McCaskill prevails, 49-45%. Among men, Mr. Hawley captures slightly more support, 48-45%. McCaskill does well, unsurprisingly, in the Kansas City and St. Louis areas, while Mr. Hawley does best in southwest and southeast Missouri. The biggest warning signal for Hawley is his 25% share of the self-described “moderates”, in comparison to Ms. McCaskill’s 68% support factor.
The Rundown Blog
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