MI-11: Pre-Primary Polling

​With two-term Michigan Rep. David Trott (R-Birmingham) choosing not to seek re-election, tight primaries in both parties will be decided on August 7th for what could become a toss-up general election campaign.  Epic MRA polled both primaries (7/23-24; 700 MI-11 likely primary voters) and found changing candidate fields for both sides. 
 
According to the Democratic MRA data, state Rep. Tim Greimel (D-Troy) has forged into a 21-17-14% lead over former Treasury Department official Haley Stevens and tech company CEO Suneel Gupta, the brother of CNN medical consultant Sanjay Gupta.  This is a marked changed from the previous Target Insyght survey (7/16-18; 500 MI-11 likely Democratic primary voters) that placed Ms. Stevens into the lead with Mr. Gupta and Rep. Greimel trailing.  The TI figures saw a 21-15-14% spread in Ms. Stevens’ favor. 
 
For the Republicans, Epic MRA sees businesswoman and former Trump Campaign Michigan co-chair Lena Epstein topping the field with 26%, followed by former state Representative and statewide candidate Rocky Raczkowski at 19%, state Rep. Klint Kesto (R-Pontiac) tallying 12%, state Sen. Mike Kowall (R-Novi) posting 8%, and former US Rep. Kerry Bentivolio recording 7% support.  But, a later Mitchell Research survey (7/30; 305 MI-11 likely Republican primary voters) was released and also places Ms. Epstein first (27%), Raczkowski second with 18%, but projects Bentivolio in third (14%), Kesto fourth (11%), and Kowall fifth (10%).