The Emerson College Polling Institute (1/30-2/2; 831 IA registered voters; 260 IA likely caucus attenders) tested the Democratic field for the Iowa Caucuses one year from now, and the results project former Vice President Joe Biden to be holding the lead with 29% support. Fresh from her announcement tour, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) is second at 18%, followed closely by Vermont Senator and former presidential candidate Bernie Sanders who claims 15% preference. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) was next with 11%, and the last of the candidates to register double-digits.
In the second tier are former Texas US Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-El Paso) at 6%, two points ahead of New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, and Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio. All others finish with 3% or less.
Turning to individual Iowa general election pairings with President Trump, only Mr. Biden finishes ahead of the incumbent, and even here the margin is a slight 51-49%. If Starbucks former CEO Howard Schultz was included as an Independent candidate, Mr. Trump’s margin with his Democratic opponent expands in each situation.
The Rundown Blog
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