GA-6: New Polls

Two more surveys were just released; both showing Democrat Jon Ossoff to be leading the race, but one poll has a potentially serious flaw.  Landmark Communications, an Atlanta-based company, has been the most consistent pollster in this campaign, all for WSB-TV.  Their latest data, released Thursday, finds the upstart Democrat leading former Secretary of State Karen Handel (R), 50-47%.  Abt Associates, polling for the Atlanta Constitutional Journal (6/9; 745 GA-6 likely voters) finds Ossoff leading 51-44%.  But, the sample may not accurately reflect the district’s true voting complexion.  The respondent universe breaks 46:44% Republican to Democrat, which matches the 2016 presidential result, but all other contests have been solidly Republican.  Therefore, projecting a Democratic skew within this data is reasonable.
 
Financial figures for the contest are being released, and Mr. Ossoff has added an incredible $15 million more to his campaign treasury during the last fundraising period, bringing his total financial receipts to over $23 million.  This dwarfs Republican Handel’s campaign, but adding outside support for her closes the gap.  This special election campaign, where aggregate spending will easily exceed $40 million, is going to set a record for any US House contest. 
 
Early voting numbers are being tabulated.  Already more than 63,000 people have voted for the June 20th run-off.  In the jungle primary, which produced just under 194,000 voters, 55,000 individuals cast their ballots before Election Day.