A new St. Leo University poll (11/19-24; 500 FL “residents”) finds Florida Governor Rick Scott (R), an unannounced US Senate candidate, taking a substantial lead over Sen. Bill Nelson (D), 42-32%. The sample size is small, however, 500 respondents culled through a large number of online groups, and the methodology does not specifically indicate that all of the respondents are registered voters. Additionally, the total sample (500) is small for a state the size of Florida, and many of the interviews were conducted over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Previous polls, in September and October, show a virtual tie. This race is likely to become a top-three national campaign next year, and provides the Republicans with a serious conversion opportunity.
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