Florida: Competing Results

​The aforementioned Florida Atlantic University poll (see Florida Senate above) also tested the wild Democratic and Republican primaries for Governor.  The data is questionable for these races because the sample sizes are too low to determine a highly reliable result.  For Democrats, the primary respondent cell contains only 271 voters statewide, with an even lower 262 on the Republican side.
 
Looking at the Democrats, newcomer Jeff Greene, a billionaire who is spending heavily from his own resources, is making a dent in primary support.  According to the FAU data, which is relatively consistent with other larger-sample polls, former US Rep. Gwen Graham (D-Tallahassee) posts 20% support, while Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine is next with 16%, followed by Greene (14%), businessman Chris King (9%), and Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (7%).  Like in other polls, the addition of Mr. Greene has allowed Ms. Graham to move into first place because the former takes major support away from Mayor Levine.
 
On the other hand, Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy just released a new survey (7/23-25; 1,000 FL likely voters; 500 FL likely Democratic primary voters; 500 FL likely Republican primary voters) whose results better represent the preponderance of available public data. 
 
M-D also finds Ms. Graham leading the group.  According to their Democratic primary result, she has a stronger 27-18-12-10-7% support margin over Messrs. Levine, Greene, Gillum, and King.
 
For the Republicans, the FAU poll finds US Rep. Ron DeSantis (R-Palm Coast/ Daytona Beach) topping Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, which is also consistent with the other most recent polling from this race.  The FAU survey finds Rep. DeSantis holding a 36-27% lead over Mr. Putnam.
 
The Mason-Dixon GOP numbers report a similar conclusion.  They see DeSantis leading 41-29%, in a race that looks completely different than it did last month.  The Florida primary is August 28th, so these fluid campaign situations can still change.