Arizona: Flake Falling

A new HighGround Public Affairs Consulting poll (8/18-19; 400 AZ registered voters; 273 self-identified Republican voters) finds Sen. Jeff Flake (R) languishing when paired with his announced Republican primary challenger and a potential general election opponent.  The poll is skewed regarding the Republican primary vote because the sample size of 273 is too low for a state the size of Arizona.  That being said, the ballot test finds Sen. Flake trailing former state Sen. Kelli Ward, 28-42%.  If Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Phoenix) were to become the Democratic Senate nominee, she would top the Senator, 40-32%, in a hypothetical general election ballot test.  If Ward defeated Flake in the primary and then was paired against Rep. Sinema for the November election, the Democrat would have only a 32-31% edge. 

--Jim Ellis