A New JMC Analytics & Polling survey (9/16-17; 500 AL GOP run-off likely voters based upon previous primary participation; automated system) shows appointed Sen. Luther Strange doing a bit better before next Tuesday’s special Senate Republican run-off, but still trailing beyond the polling margin of error. The results find former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore leading the interim incumbent, 47-39%.
The evangelical Christian segment is still critical to the final outcome. Among the religious segment, which dominates the polling sample at 66% of the overall total, Moore leads 57-36%. For non-evangelicals, the spread is almost exactly reversed: Strange, 56-34%. The Senator’s only path to victory next week appears to be drawing a huge non-evangelical turnout. President Trump will be appearing in Huntsville this weekend to campaign for Strange. Whether this will have any affect on the final outcome remains to be seen.
The Rundown Blog
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