A new Alabama special election US Senate survey conducted for the regional Raycom News Network (Research Strategies, Inc. (Mobile, AL); 7/24; 3,000 AL registered voters) stakes appointed Sen. Luther Strange to a two-point lead over former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore, 35-33%. Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Huntsville) trails with 16%, but his advertising campaign is just now beginning for the stretch drive. With only two weeks remaining before the special primary election, it appears a September 26th run-off will be necessary, and, at this point, the likely participants will be Sen. Strange and former Chief Justice Moore.
But the biggest surprise finding comes on the Democratic side. There, Naval Academy graduate and retired officer Robert Kennedy Jr., has opened up a surprising 49-28% advantage over Birmingham former US Attorney Doug Jones. Since these are the two most prominent Democratic candidates, the chances of one obtaining majority support on August 15th is much higher than for Republicans. Should this occur, the primary winner automatically advances into the December 12th general election contest.
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