JMC Analytics released the first post-special primary poll (8/17-19; 515 AL GOP likely run-off voters) and found former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R) running far ahead of appointed Sen. Luther Strange (R). According to the data that seems to over-sample evangelicals (an element that definitely helps Moore), the former Judge is running away from the appointed Senator, 51-32%. The key to the poll, and the election from Moore’s perspective, is converting the preponderance of Rep. Mo Brooks’ (R-Huntsville) supporters. Mr. Brooks finished third with 20% of the vote. This poll suggests that the Congressman’s voters are headed heavily to Moore: 52-29%, from the Huntsville area, alone. We will soon see additional polling to either confirm or dispel this projected landslide margin.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.