JMC Analytics released the first post-special primary poll (8/17-19; 515 AL GOP likely run-off voters) and found former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R) running far ahead of appointed Sen. Luther Strange (R). According to the data that seems to over-sample evangelicals (an element that definitely helps Moore), the former Judge is running away from the appointed Senator, 51-32%. The key to the poll, and the election from Moore’s perspective, is converting the preponderance of Rep. Mo Brooks’ (R-Huntsville) supporters. Mr. Brooks finished third with 20% of the vote. This poll suggests that the Congressman’s voters are headed heavily to Moore: 52-29%, from the Huntsville area, alone. We will soon see additional polling to either confirm or dispel this projected landslide margin.
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