Alabama: Confirming Data

The Change Research firm released their third poll of the special Alabama Senate race (11/26-27; 1,868 AL self-identified registered voters) and it confirms the latest two publicly released surveys finding former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R) regaining the lead over Democratic former US Attorney Doug Jones.  The CR spread gives Judge Moore a 49-44% edge, with the partisan divisions returning to more usual Alabama voting pattern. 
 
Partisanship also appears to largely determine if the individual respondent believes the sexual impropriety charges against Moore.  Republicans, particularly the hard core Moore supporters, say they don’t believe the accusations.  Now, 71% of Republicans say the charges are untrue, including a 2:78% Yes/No ratio among Moore primary voters.  By a virtual unanimous margin of 94:1%, Alabama Democrats believe the allegations, but they are badly outnumbered.
 
In what is clearly the best news for Moore coming from this poll, 88% of self-identified Trump voters now say they are “definitely planning to vote” up from 82% found in earlier CR polling.

--Jim Ellis