Montana: New Poll Gives Sen. Tester Small Leads: The Political Company, a Montana based survey research firm, just released hypothetical numbers for the state’s upcoming 2024 Senate race, sure to be one of the top such contests in the country. The poll (1/30-2/1; 534 MT likely general election voters; live interview & text) finds Sen. Jon Tester (D), who has yet to announce his 2024 political intentions, either leading or tied with what would presumably be his top three potential challengers.
The Senator’s strongest opponent would be Gov. Greg Gianforte (R), who would begin in a 45-45% ballot test tie with Sen. Tester according to the new data. Sen. Tester would post small leads against Reps. Matt Rosendale (R-Glendive) and Ryan Zinke (R-Whitefish). Opposite Rep. Rosendale, the Senator’s advantage would be 45-40%, while he would fare slightly better against Rep. Zinke at 46-40%. None of the three has yet announced they will run for Senate, but Rep. Rosendale is reportedly the most likely to launch a campaign. Gov. Gianforte is also on the ballot for re-election in 2024. Clearly the state has moved to the right since Sen. Tester defeated Mr. Rosendale 50-47% in 2018. The fact that he is well below 50% against all three men is a clear signal that he will be in a dogfight for re-election should he seek a fourth term. The Senator said he will make his decision about running again before the end of March. Comments are closed.
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