Oklahoma: Rare Senate Polls: The Sooner Poll that was released earlier in the week and gave Democrat Hoy Hofmeister a surprising 47-43% lead over Gov. Kevin Stitt (R) yesterday publicized numbers in both US Senate races, the regular election featuring Sen. James Lankford (R) and the special election to replace resigning Sen. Jim Inhofe (R). The poll is flawed in that only 301 respondents comprise the entire statewide sample, but the Senate results appear reasonable, nonetheless.
In the regular election, Sen. Lankford holds a 52-40% lead over high tech businessman Madison Horn (D) and US Rep. Markwayne Mullin (R-Westville) tops former US Rep. Kendra Horn (D), 51-42%. Both Sen. Lankford and Rep. Mullin are heavy favorites to win in November. Conflicting Polls: We have two examples of pollsters surveying the same race within the equivalent time realm and reporting wholly conflicting results. In Arizona, the Big Data Poll (polling for the CD Media site; 10/2-5; 970 AZ likely general election voters; text & oversampling) sees a dead heat, 46-45%, result between Sen. Mark Kelly (D) and challenger Blake Masters (R). Conversely, OH Predictive Insights (10/4-6; 674 AZ likely general election voters) finds a 46-33% split in the Senator’s favor with Libertarian Marc Victor posting 15%. The OH data is certainly outside the overall polling pattern, and no other entity has found the Libertarian candidate drawing such a high preference number. We also see conflict in the Washington Senate race. The Senate Opportunity Fund (10/4; 600 WA likely general election voters; mechanized) released their survey that gives Sen. Patty Murray (D) only a 46-42% edge over Republican Tiffany Smiley. Emerson College (9/21-10/1; 782 WA likely general election voters; multiple sampling techniques), over a slightly earlier time frame, posted the Senator to a 51-40% lead. The latter Emerson poll is closer to this race’s polling average. Comments are closed.
|
The Rundown BlogLearn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States. Archives
May 2024
Categories
All
|
|
BIPAC© 2022 BIPAC. All rights reserved
|