Two political research firms, Echelon Insights and McLaughlin & Associates, ran national surveys to see where potential 2024 party nomination contests might stand at the present time. Echelon (6/18-22; 1,001 US registered voters; 386 US registered Republican voters; online) tested the general election and a potential Republican primary. They assumed that President Biden would not be on the ballot for the next national campaign. Thus, they paired Vice President Kamala Harris individually against both former President Donald Trump and ex-Vice President Mike Pence.
According to Echelon, Ms. Harris would top the ex-President 47-40% and record a 45-36% advantage against Mr. Pence. McLaughlin sees a different picture, however. According to their survey (6/16-20; 1,000 US likely voters; 463 likely Democratic primary voters; 444 likely US Republican primary voters), it is Mr. Trump who would lead Ms. Harris, 49-45%. On the nomination side, Echelon tested only the Republican side and finds Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis leading Mr. Pence, 21-14%, with Donald Trump, Jr. finishing third with 7% support. Ex-UN Ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) both followed with 6% support. McLaughlin found Ms. Harris topping Michelle Obama 31-19% on the Democratic side, and Gov. DeSantis leading Mr. Pence and Donald Trump, Jr., 24-19-15%. If the former President was in the GOP race, however, he would dominate the field with 55%. Following was Gov. DeSantis and Mr. Pence with 9 and 8%, respectively. Comments are closed.
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