AL-2: Figures Records Major Lead in New Runoff Poll: Impact Research conducted a research study for the upcoming April 2nd Democratic runoff election in Alabama’s new 2nd Congressional District anchored in the Montgomery and Mobile areas. The survey (3/14-18; 500 likely AL-2 Democratic runoff voters; interactive voice response system and text) sees former Obama Justice Department official Shomari Figures, who finished first in the March 5th primary with 43.5% of the vote, leading state House Minority Leader Anthony Daniels (D-Montgomery) by a whopping 59-24% margin.
The eventual Democratic nominee will be a heavy favorite in the general election. President Biden carried this newly configured district with a 56-43% vote spread in 2020. The state’s congressional map was redrawn to comply with the US Supreme Court ruling in the Alabama racial gerrymandering case. AZ-2: McCarthy Opponent Draws Primary Challenge: Freshman Arizona Rep. Eli Crane (R-Oro Valley), who is one of the eight Republicans who voted to oust then-Speaker Kevin McCarthy, has drawn a primary opponent. Yavapai County Supervisor Jack Smith (R) announced yesterday that he would follow through with a challenge to Crane after he filed a campaign committee weeks ago with the Federal Election Commission. The 2nd Congressional District of Arizona covers the state’s northeastern sector and then stretches into Maricopa County, in and around the Phoenix metro area. The seat is safely Republican, so the true battle will be in the GOP primary scheduled for July 30th. NH-2: Rep. Kuster to Retire: Six-term New Hampshire US Rep. Annie Kuster (D-Hopkinton) announced yesterday that she will not seek re-election next year. Her departure paves the way for a competitive primary and general election season. Ms. Kuster averaged 53.3% of the vote in her six victorious elections, dropping below 50% in 2016 (49.8%) while scoring her strongest vote of 55.8% in 2022. She was first elected in 2012, defeating then-Rep. Charlie Bass (R) in that year’s general election. NH-2 becomes the 49th open seat heading into the next election. Ms. Kuster is the 25th House Democrat not to seek another term. The FiveThirtyEight data organization rates the western New Hampshire seat as D+2, and the Daily Kos Elections site ranks NH-2 as the 21st most vulnerable district in the Democratic Conference. President Biden, however, recorded a 54-45% victory over Donald Trump in 2020, thus exceeding the typical Democratic performance in this swing seat. ND-AL: Clear Leader Emerges: As candidate filing in North Dakota closed, the race for the open at-large congressional district is becoming clearer. Former state Senator Tom Campbell (R), viewed as a strong contender, decided not to file for the seat just after outgoing Gov. Doug Burgum (R) announced his Republican primary endorsement of state Public Utilities Commissioner Julie Fedorchak. It appears that Ms. Fedorchak is becoming the favorite for the nomination. With the FiveThirtyEight data organization rating North Dakota as R+37 and former President Trump carrying the seat with a 65-32% margin, winning the Republican primary is typically tantamount to claiming the seat in the November election. Three-term Congressman Kelly Armstrong (R-Bismarck) is running for Governor. In addition to Ms. Fedorchak, former state Rep. Rick Becker and farmer and retired Air Force veteran Alex Balazs comprise the open seat GOP primary field. For the Democrats, educator and 2022 Public Utilities Commission nominee Trygve Hammer is unopposed for the party nomination. Comments are closed.
|
The Rundown BlogLearn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States. Archives
May 2024
Categories
All
|
|
BIPAC© 2022 BIPAC. All rights reserved
|