Update: Two to Go: The 36 Governors’ races are also almost complete, with only Alaska and Arizona uncalled.
Alaska Republican incumbent Mike Dunleavy looks to be in position to potentially clinch re-election outright, thus exceeding the 50% mark within the aggregate vote and avoiding a Ranked Choice Voting instant runoff. With ballots being allowed two weeks to report from the wilderness, it will be just before Thanksgiving when all of the Last Frontier races finally conclude. In returns that defied polling and thus favor the Democrats, Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs (D) leads former news anchorwoman Kari Lake (R) in the Governor’s race, and her advantage may be enough to clinch the office once the state works through its counting delays. At this point, Ms. Hobbs holds a 50.5 – 49.5% lead with an estimated 93% of the vote counted. This translates into approximately 180,000 votes remaining to be tallied. To win, Ms. Lake would have to receive more than 56% of the outstanding vote to make up her 26,000+ vote deficit, which is difficult. In the only competitive election resulting in a partisan conversion, Republican Clark County Sheriff Joe Lombardo (R) unseated Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak (D). In races that were largely decided in the states’ respective Democratic primaries, Wes Moore and Maura Healey successfully converted Republican Governorships in Maryland and Massachusetts, respectively. Oregon, the site of perhaps the most interesting Governor’s race because it featured a three-way battle, saw former state House Speaker Tina Kotek (D) prevail over ex-House Minority Leader Christine Drazan (R) and former state Senator Betsy Johnson (I). Polling correctly suggested that Ms. Johnson had dropped well off the pace but also largely projected that Ms. Drazan was positioned for a close upset win. In the end, the election broke 47-44-9% in Ms. Kotek’s favor with an estimated 93% of the all-mail vote counted. Comments are closed.
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