Michigan: Major Polling Conflict: We see a pair of polls presenting opposite looks to the Michigan Governor’s race. The Epic-MRA organization, an entity that frequently surveys the Michigan electorate (10/6-12; 600 MI likely general election voters; live interview) posts Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) to an 11-point, 49-38% edge, including leaners, over online talk show personality Tudor Dixon (R). But, Insider Advantage (10/12; 550 MI likely general election voters) sees a completely different result, placing Ms. Dixon and the Governor into a flat 44-44% tie. Most other polling has produced similar numbers to Epic-MRA, so this is another situation that bears watching if confirming data to the Insider Advantage results soon surface.
New York: Four Polls Showing Increased Competition: Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) has been running consistently ahead of US Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-Shirley/East Long Island), but now we see four consecutive polls finding the Republican deficit falling between two and eight percentage points. In chronological order, Schoen Cooperman Research (10/8-12; 824 NY likely general election voters) sees only a 50-44% split between Gov. Hochul, who ascended to her position when Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) resigned, and Congressman Zeldin. Marist College (10/3-6; 900 likely voters) posts a similar 52-44% split. The Trafalgar Group (9/30-10/3; 1,087 likely voters) sees the closest spread, 45-43%. Finally, McLaughlin & Associates (9/21-25; 800 likely voters) recorded a 51-45% result in late September. This is another race on the edge of competitiveness that will likely soon draw more attention. Early voting in New York does not begin until October 29th, so more time exists for this potentially fluid electorate to gel. Comments are closed.
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