The University of California at Berkeley’s Institute for Governmental Studies released their latest Golden State survey (7/18-24; 5,795 CA registered voters; 3,266 CA likely recall election voters; online) and found that the ballot test for Gov. Gavin Newsom’s (D) September 14th recall election reveals a very tight contest among likely voters. According to the poll results, 47% of the respondents motivated to cast their ballot would vote to remove Newsom from office while 50% would vote against the recall.
The tally is largely due to the enthusiasm among Republican voters. The survey found almost 90% of GOP respondents saying they are highly interested in the recall election as opposed to just 58% offering the same response among Democrats and 53% from Independents. The Governor’s biggest problem is the pollster’s analysis that Democrats “almost unanimously” believe Gov. Newsom will win the recall election, thus leading to a higher degree of apathy within the sample segment. In the replacement election, the UC Berkeley poll finds Los Angeles media commentator Larry Elder leading the group of 46 candidates with 18% support. John Cox, the 2018 Republican gubernatorial general election finalist, and former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer are next with 10% apiece. State Assemblyman Kevin Kiley (R-Granite Bay/ Sacramento) registers 5% preference, and media star Caitlin Jenner lags with just 3% support. Comments are closed.
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