Iowa: Sen. Grassley’s More Comfortable Lead: On the heels of the Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Company poll (10/9-12; 620 IA likely voters) that found Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) holding only a three point lead over retired Navy Admiral Michael Franken (D), The Tarrance Group followed with their own study. This poll (10/15-19; 600 IA likely general election voters; live interview) restores the Senator to a double-digit lead, 53-42%. Still, this is a competitive contest and a race to watch in this election cycle’s final days.
Washington: Big Conflict: Once again, we see two polling firms testing at exactly the same time in the same Senate race (10/19-20) but arriving at radically different conclusions. Public Policy Polling, surveying for the Northwest Progressive Institute (782 WA likely voters; live interview & text) sees Sen. Patty Murray (D) topping Republican Tiffany Smiley, 52-42%, which is consistent with most other surveys and the August 2nd jungle primary vote (Murray 54-Smiley 32%). Conversely, the co/efficient firm (1,181 WA likely voters; live interview & text) sees only a three-point margin between the two candidates, 48-45%, in the Senator’s favor. Survey USA was also in the field during the similar period (10/14-19; 589 WA likely voters; online) and they split the difference between PPP and co/efficient. S-USA returned a 49-41% Murray advantage. Though this race has several times touched upon competitiveness, the jungle primary and Washington voter history again suggests an impending victory for Sen. Murray. Comments are closed.
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