Monmouth University went into the field to test the central New Jersey race between five-term incumbent Leonard Lance (R-Clinton Township) and former State Department official Tom Malinowski (D). According to the survey (9/13-17; 414 NJ-7 registered voters), Mr. Malinowski takes a 46-43% over Rep. Lance among the most likely voters.
From the registered voter universe as a whole, the numbers greatly improve for the challenger ( 47-39%). If a “Democrat surge” were present, which emphasizes lower propensity Democratic voters under the theory that this will be a wave election year, Malinowski would hold a 47-41% advantage. The 7th District is politically marginal, and is obviously in play for a Democratic conversion.
The Rundown Blog
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