The new Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom (Selzer & Company; 3/3-6; 401 likely Democratic Caucus participants) also released their new Iowa data, now 11 months before the first-in-the-nation caucus vote. The numbers almost perfectly mirror the latest Monmouth national poll. As in Monmouth, Selzer & Company, polling for the three media entities, finds former Vice President Joe Biden leading Sen. Bernie Sanders by the same 27-25% margin.
Here, however, the third place finisher, still well behind the leaders, is Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) with 9%. In the national poll, California Sen. Kamala Harris holds third with 10%. In Iowa, Sen. Harris drops to fourth with 7%. But, the statistical differences among those bunched together in these small sample surveys is insignificant.
The key finding in Iowa as nationally, is that Messrs. Biden and Sanders are the clear early leaders, but neither has a particular advantage over the other. Additionally, both of them even being below 30% support means that the nomination race is still wide open for multiple contenders.
The Rundown Blog
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