Regular Illinois pollster Victory Research went into the field again (8/12-14; 1,208 IL likely general election voters via live phone interview) and found Democratic challenger J.B. Pritzker still leading Gov. Bruce Rauner (R) by a double-digit margin, but the incumbent is making some gains. The new data finds Mr. Pritzker holding a 41-30% advantage, an 11-point margin. This is somewhat improved from the 15 point margin Victory detected in late June.
Gov. Rauner is performing better with his own party after his scant 51% re-nomination victory back in March. While he still is only getting 71% of Republicans, the GOP bleed toward Pritzker is less than 5%. Rauner’s biggest problem is among self-described moderates, a group he is losing by 20 percentage points according to the Victory crosstabs.
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