The next in a series of paired incumbent elections is scheduled in Illinois when two sets of paired incumbents will square off in the June 28th primary election. In the downstate Republican primary, Reps. Rodney Davis (R-Taylorville) and Mary Miller (R-Oakland) are battling for the new gerrymandered 15th District, one of only three Land of Lincoln seats that will likely send a Republican to the House. This week, we see two polls released with conflicting conclusions.
The Victory Geek firm, polling for the Illinoize political blog (6/15-19; 515 IL-15 respondents; interactive voice response system), finds Rep. Davis leading Rep. Miller, 38-35%. When forcing the undecideds to make a choice, the full universe breaks for Mr. Davis, 51-49%. The bad news for him is when voters are informed that former President Trump has endorsed Miller. The preference factor then switches to 47-39% in favor of Ms. Miller. The Miller campaign also released their internal Cygnal firm survey conducted during the same time period (6/18-19; 420 IL-15 likely Republican primary voters; peer-to-peer text) that gave the Congresswoman a 45-40% edge over Mr. Davis. The other paired incumbent election features a Chicago suburban Democratic pairing between Reps. Sean Casten (D-Downers Grove) and Marie Newman (D-La Grange). Comments are closed.
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