Majority Status: Republicans Knocking on the Door: Various news agencies have called five more US House races bringing the Republicans to the brink of clinching a bare majority. With the new calls that included three Democratic and two Republican victories, the GOP now stands with 217 called seats, one short of the official majority according to the CNN Elections site. The Democrats currently hold 207 seats under the new totals.
The uncalled list, that will ultimately determine the size of the new majority, now stands at eleven. Within this segment, Republicans lead in four seats, Democrats in six, and one, California’s open 13th District, is simply too close to call. Six of the eleven lie in California. Republicans continue to be on a pace to claim the majority with between 218 and 221 seats. To reach 218, the Republicans need to win only one of the 11 outstanding races. Democrats, while still mathematically alive, can reach 218 only with a sweep of all 11 uncalled races. NM-2: Rep. Herrell Loses Re-Election: Las Cruces City Councilman Gabe Vasquez (D) was declared the winner of the state’s southern 2nd District congressional race where he unseated freshman Rep. Yvette Herrell (R-Alamogordo). The margin was 50.3 – 49.6%, a margin of just 1,344 votes of more than 192,000 ballots cast. The Herrell defeat is attributed more to redistricting than to Mr. Vasquez’s campaign. The Democratic map drawers targeted Herrell for defeat in order to sweep the New Mexico delegation. Changing the 2nd District from a R+14 into a D+4 by adding some Albuquerque suburban areas in the re-map plan severely endangered the GOP freshman member who won her seat in 2020 after losing her first attempt in 2018. The 18-point swing toward the Democrats obviously made Rep. Herrell vulnerable and, as so often happens, the re-draw successfully defeated a targeted incumbent. Ms. Herrell joins a group of seven other incumbents who lost their elections on Tuesday. They are: Reps. Tom O’Halleran (D-AZ), Al Lawson (D-FL), Cindy Axne (D-IA), Tom Malinowski (D-NJ), Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY), Steve Chabot (R-OH), and Mayra Flores (R-TX). Reps. Lawson and Flores lost their seats because they were paired with another incumbent. Comments are closed.
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