Venture capitalist Blake Masters, armed with an endorsement from former President Trump who remains a strong force in Republican primaries, has defeated businessman Jim Lamon and Attorney General Mark Brnovich with a 39-29-18% vote margin with about 80% of the expected vote tabulated. Now, Mr. Masters advances to the general election to face a tough political opponent in Sen. Mark Kelly (D).
In the open Governor’s race, Trump endorsed former news anchor Kari Lake has a very slight lead of approximately 9,000 votes over Arizona University Regent Karrin Taylor Robson, who both former Vice President Mike Pence and term-limited Gov. Doug Ducey supported. The outstanding 21% of the vote, however, including that from the most populous Maricopa County where about 62% of the state’s residents live, makes it unclear as to who will prevail when all of the ballots are counted. The eventual winner will face Secretary of State Katie Hobbs, who scored a landslide 73% victory in the Democratic primary.
In House races, Rep. David Schweikert (R-Fountain Hills) looks to have won re-nomination in the new Scottsdale anchored 1st District, but in unimpressive form. With 82% of the expected vote counted at this writing, Rep. Schweikert only has 43% of the Republican vote.
In the very different 2nd District that now will favor a Republican candidate as opposed to Democratic incumbent Tom O’Halleran (D-Sedona), retired Navy SEAL Eli Crane, another Trump endorsed candidate, has defeated state Rep. Walt Blackman (R-Snowflake) to win the GOP nomination. At this writing, 80% of the expected vote has been counted and Mr. Crane has a nine-percentage point lead, which should be more than enough to clinch the win. A O’Halleran-Crane general election now becomes one of the top GOP conversion target races in the nation.
The new competitive 4th District where Rep. Greg Stanton (D-Phoenix) sees his partisan index drop to just D+1 according to the FiveThirtyEight data organization, saw a surprise winner in the Republican primary. Though former Phoenix Suns executive Tanya Wheeless was attracting the most media attention, the district’s GOP electorate has instead chosen local businessman Kelly Cooper as the party nominee. With approximately 80% of the vote counted, Mr. Cooper has a five-percentage point lead. He looks to be a strong general election candidate, and this will be a real race in the Autumn.
In the Tucson anchored open 6th District, from which Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Tucson) is retiring, former gubernatorial aide and Hispanic Chamber of Commerce executive Juan Ciscomani, as expected, easily captured the Republican nomination. He will now face former state Senator Kirsten Engel who was a strong winner on the Democratic side. The general election will yield a tight political district, but the area and national political prognosticators promote Mr. Ciscomani as the favorite to win the general election and convert this southeastern Arizona seat for the GOP.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.