YouGov Poll: Tests Enthusiasm & Trump VP Choices: International online pollster YouGov, again polling for the Economist publication as they do on a regular basis, included questions about enthusiasm for President Biden and former President Trump, as well as favorability rating for eleven potential Republican Vice Presidential choices.
On the enthusiasm questions, as we have seen from primary turnout numbers across the country, President Biden has a major problem. Among self-identified Democrats in the latest YouGov national survey (3/30-4/2; 1,813 US adults; online) only 38% responded affirmatively that they are enthusiastic about Mr. Biden’s candidacy. Another 21% said they are dissatisfied with the President’s candidacy, with an additional 6% of Democrats confirming they are “upset” with the status of his campaign. A final 37% said they are satisfied with Biden, but not enthusiastic. Compared with former President Trump, 57% of Republicans said they are enthusiastic about his candidacy, 6% dissatisfied but not upset, 8% upset, while 26% say they are satisfied but not enthusiastic. On the Vice Presidential front, eleven prospects were tested. They are (alphabetically): Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, former HUD Secretary Ben Carson, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, ex-Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), and Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH). Rating the candidates equally on their favorability indexes and awarding individual points for standing in the high favorable, low unfavorable, and best ratio between the two scores, the top finishers were Sen. Scott and Dr. Carson. Finishing dead last among the group, and the only candidate viewed with an upside down favorability index, is Ms. Haley. Though Gov. DeSantis is ineligible to serve as Vice President because both he and Mr. Trump reside in the same state, he was still included in the poll and fared well, placing just behind Messrs. Scott and Carson. CO-8: GOP Nomination Virtually Secured: Colorado Republicans from the Denver suburban 8th Congressional District met in caucus and advanced state Rep. Gave Evans (R-Westminster) into the general election with 62% delegate support. The other qualifier is state Rep. Janak Joshi, but he resides all the way south in Colorado Springs, far from the 8th District. Health insurance consultant Joe Andujo is now disqualified since he failed to reach the 10% threshold at the party convention. He was also circulating petitions to qualify, but those efforts are now discarded because he failed to reach the minimum delegate support threshold. Mr. Andujo then endorsed Rep. Evans at the convention. Very likely, we will now see Mr. Evans advancing from Colorado’s June 25th primary election, where he will become the general election candidate to oppose freshman Rep. Yadira Caraveo (D-Thornton). The Congresswoman, first elected in 2022 from what is Colorado’s newest congressional seat, scored only 48.4% of the vote, defeating her Republican opponent by less than a full percentage point. Count on this race becoming a major national GOP offensive target. NY-16: Rep. Bowman Trails Badly in New Dem Primary Poll: Justice Democratic Congressman Jamaal Bowman (D-Yonkers), who unseated veteran Rep. Eliot Engel in the 2020 Democratic primary, appears to be in trouble as he seeks renomination for a third term. A new Mellman Group survey (3/26-30; 400 NY-16 likely Democratic primary voters; live interview & text) conducted for the George Latimer campaign finds the challenging Westchester County Executive leading Rep. Bowman by a whopping 52-35% margin as the June 25th primary comes into view. Rep. Bowman aligns himself with the group that calls themselves “the Squad” and comprises the far left of the Democratic Conference. Mr. Latimer, prior to his election as county executive, served in both the New York Senate and Assembly. This race is now becoming another key primary campaign as several incumbents from around the country face stiff competition in their quest for renomination. Comments are closed.
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