A new Colorado Senate poll, consistent with other early surveys, finds former Governor John Hickenlooper (D) establishing a solid lead over incumbent Sen. Cory Gardner (R) in a state that continues to move leftward. A trio of research firms, Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs, and Martin Campaigns combined their efforts to field this specific Centennial State poll (10/10-14; 500 CO registered voters). The results find Mr. Hickenlooper posting a 53-42% lead over Sen. Gardner in a race that promises to attract major national attention.
The favorability index also substantially favors Hickenlooper despite him crashing and burning at the presidential campaign level. Mr. Hickenlooper posted a 51:35% favorable to unfavorable ratio while Sen. Gardner is upside down with a 34:45% rating. Mr. Hickenlooper still must win the Democratic primary, however, as nine candidates are opposing him for the nomination. He is a heavy favorite, however, against former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff, state Sen. Angela Williams (D-Denver), and seven others.
Saying she has no path to victory after former Gov. John Hickenlooper entered the Democratic Senatorial primary, former state House Majority Leader Alice Madden announced over the weekend that she is ending her statewide campaign. She joins ex-state Sen. Mike Johnston and former diplomat Dan Baer in departing from the contest since Mr. Hickenlooper emerged after exiting the presidential campaign.
Though eleven candidates remain in the Democratic primary, it appears obvious that the general election will feature Mr. Hickenlooper and Sen. Cory Gardner (R) in a campaign that will draw a great deal of national attention.
Former Denver state House Speaker Crisanta Duran (D-Denver) over the weekend dropped her Democratic primary challenge to veteran US Rep. Diana DeGette (D-Denver). Ms. Duran suffered a burst appendix less than a month ago, and said she came to the conclusion that she can “be more effective in pursuing transformational change through other means.” Absent a strong primary challenge, Rep. DeGette again looks like a sure bet for re-election and should easily win a 13th term from this heavily Democratic urban seat.
Last week, national construction company CEO Denise Burgess announced her candidacy for the Democratic nomination, showing no fear to line up opposite former Gov. John Hickenlooper and eleven others. Already, however, she has ended her campaign. A news story revealing that she has liens against her for unpaid taxes is the factor that has prematurely driven her from the campaign. Mr. Hickenlooper is the clear favorite for the party nomination and we can expect him to be Sen. Cory Gardner’s (R) general election opponent.
Since former Gov. John Hickenlooper has returned from the presidential campaign and jumped into the US Senate race, three Democrats have ended their efforts: former state Sen. Mike Johnston, ex-US Attorney John Walsh, and former US Ambassador and State Department official Dan Baer. This, however, has not stopped a new candidate from emerging. Denise Burgess, owner of a national construction management company, officially joined the Senate field yesterday. Mr. Hickenlooper is still a strong favorite for the nomination, but it is clear he is not yet a consensus nominee. The eventual Democratic winner challenges Sen. Cory Gardner (R) in the general election.
Former state Sen. Mike Johnston, who was the leading money raiser in the crowded Senate Democratic race with $3.4 million raised and $2.6 million in the bank, has suspended his campaign. Mr. Johnston, a former gubernatorial candidate, indicated he is simply “not willing to run the kind of negative race needed” to defeat ex-Gov. John Hickenlooper for the Democratic Party nomination.
Clearly part of the enticement package for former Gov. John Hickenlooper to enter the US Senate race was getting national party support despite being in a field with 13 other Democratic candidates. On Friday, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee officially endorsed Mr. Hickenlooper, just two days after he officially entered the Senate race. Obviously, the party leaders are “all-in” with Hickenlooper, and it is likely we will see a highly competitive Hickenlooper-Sen. Cory Gardner (R) general election campaign.
The long process for former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper to end his presidential campaign and convert into a Senate candidacy has finished. Yesterday, Mr. Hickenlooper, despite earlier saying the Senate would not suit him, declared his candidacy. He has 13 Democratic opponents, but some of those may withdraw. The eventual nominee faces vulnerable Republican Sen. Cory Gardner. Early polling gives Hickenlooper a large lead, but Gardner is arguably the Republicans’ best Senate campaigner.
The aforementioned Emerson College poll (8/16-19; 1,000 likely CO registered voters) sees former Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) strongly leading incumbent Sen. Cory Gardner (R) if the ex-state chief executive and now former presidential candidate were to enter the 2020 statewide race. According to the Emerson findings, Mr. Hickenlooper would lead Sen. Gardner, 53-40%, obviously well beyond the margin of any polling error.
The same sample also returns poor numbers for President Trump. All five top Democrats would exceed majority support against the President, with former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), and Mayor Pete Buttigieg each leading Mr. Trump, 55-45%.
A new Emerson College poll (8/16-19; 403 likely CO Democratic primary voters) finds Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) topping the Democratic presidential field in the Centennial State. While Sen. Sanders leads, it is by the smallest of margins, just one point over former Vice President Joe Biden. The ballot test finds a 26-25-20-13% split among Sanders, Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), respectively. South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg trails substantially, polling only at 5% just one point over New York City businessman Andrew Yang.
The Rundown Blog
Before you vote, learn more about the candidates who will support a pro-jobs America.