Michigan: Presidential Primaries Today: The presidential nomination process moves to Michigan today and Wolverine State voters of both parties will cast delegate apportioning votes. It is clear that President Biden and former President Trump will win their respective primaries, and by large majorities.
The Emerson College survey (2/20-24; 1,000 MI registered voters; multiple sampling techniques) sees Mr. Biden posting a whopping 75-5% lead over US Rep. Dean Phillips (D-MN). A total of 9% report planning to vote for the Uncommitted Slate, the move that Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Detroit) is encouraging Michigan voters to take in order to protest the President’s pro-Israel policy. On the Republican side, Mr. Trump records a 69-20% lead over former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley. Both men are already in the “presumptive nominee” sphere. Maine: Shock Poll; Trump Leads in General: A very surprising general election poll in Maine was released from the Pan Atlantic Research organization in Portland, ME. The poll (2/6-14; 836 ME adults; 791 ME likely voters; online) finds former President Trump topping President Biden in what was previously a state largely unattainable for Republican presidential candidates. The numbers find Mr. Trump leading the President 38-32% with 21% saying they would vote for another candidate. The “other candidates” were not identified, but it is reasonable to assume that most of these New Englanders choosing to support a candidate other than Messrs. Biden or Trump would be headed to Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Mr. Trump is carrying the state largely on the back of his 20 point lead in the 2nd Congressional District. He would trail Mr. Biden in the Democratic 1st CD by eight points. Because Maine’s congressional districts carry their own electoral votes, the results suggest Mr. Trump would get three electoral votes from the state and Mr. Biden, one. Of course, these surprising results can easily change but things will have to significantly improve for President Biden before such happens. According to this data, the President’s favorability index in Maine is 38:61% favorable to unfavorable, meaning the campaign’s task of improving his image is a difficult one. Comments are closed.
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