The aforementioned Monmouth University poll (see Pennsylvania Senate above) also tested the state’s Governor’s race. Paired opposite state Sen. Scott Wagner (R-York), Gov. Tom Wolf (D) opens up a large 47-31% lead. As with Sen. Casey, there is no doubt that the Governor has a clear edge at this point in the race, but taking into account the methodological flaws and Monmouth’s track record in the state, it is probably that the margin between the two candidates is less than stated.
In any event, both Gov. Wolf and Sen. Casey enjoy leads well beyond the polling margin of error. While it’s debatable whether the advantage is insurmountable, it is clear that the Republican candidates have a lot of ground to converse before even approaching victory range.
The Rundown Blog
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