CA-16: The Three-Way Outcome: Though official certification of the March 5th California primary will not occur until April 12th, it appears that the second general election position in the state’s 16th Congressional District will end in a tie. With no votes remaining to be counted, San Mateo County Supervisor and former state Senator Joe Simitian (D) and Assemblyman Evan Low (D-Campbell) both have garnered 30,249 votes. In first position is former San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo (D) with 38,489 tallies.
Under the top two California jungle primary law, in the case of a tie the deadlocked participants both advance to the general election. The state has no automatic recount law, but a candidate can request, and pay for, a recount of the ballots. It is highly unlikely that either Simitian or Low will call for a recount, however. At this point, both are in the general election and a recount would very likely change the outcome by a small number of votes. This means each would be rolling the dice that a new tally would favor them. The interesting part of this scenario, however, is whether Mr. Liccardo, the first place finisher will call for a recount. He is determining if a three-way race is to his benefit or squaring off with one of the others. Since he already placed first in the crowded field of eleven candidates, he will probably conclude that his chances are best in the three-way field. Therefore, this is a rare situation when the top two system actually produced three qualifiers. And, to make the outcome even rarer, all three are Democrats. CO-3: Two Qualify for Primary: Colorado Republicans met in a pair of local assemblies to potentially send candidates to the June 25th primary election. Under Colorado election procedure, a candidate can qualify for the ballot either by receiving at least 30% of the delegate vote at district assembly or petitioning onto the ballot with 1,500 signatures for a congressional race. A candidate can both participate in the assembly and obtain signatures. If a contender draws less than 10% of the assembly vote, he or she is disqualified from the primary. In Rep. Lauren Boebert’s (R-Silt) now open 3rd District, two individuals exceeded the 30% threshold, therefore securing primary ballot positions. Colorado Board of Education Member Stephen Varela and former state Representative Ron Hanks have earned the first and second ballot positions. Businessman Curtis McCrackin, who did not participate in the assembly, has qualified through petition signatures. Three more have submitted petitions and are awaiting certification from the Secretary of State. An additional three candidates failed to reach the 10% threshold at the district assembly and are disqualified. Democrat Adam Frisch, the 2022 candidate, who lost to Boebert by only 546 votes, is a virtual lock to again be his party’s nominee. CO-4: Boebert Tops GOP Assembly Vote: The big story surrounding the party assemblies comes from former Rep. Ken Buck’s (R) open 4th District where 3rd District Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Silt) is attempting to win re-election in a new CD. Many believed she would not fare particularly well at the assembly, but a plurality of the 527 attending delegates proved them wrong. Ms. Boebert finished first inthe voting with 41% support, thus awarding her the first ballot position in the June 25th Republican primary. Former state Senator Ted Harvey, who many believed to be the favorite, finished with 26% of the delegate vote. Therefore, he did not qualify for the ballot. Since he did not circulate petitions, Mr. Harvey is eliminated. Several others will qualify through petition, meaning we will see a contested primary election in this district. Comments are closed.
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