CO-8: Rep. Caraveo (D) Drops Behind in New GE Poll: Despite having a better than 5:1 lead in fundraising, an early April OnMessage survey in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District (4/1-4; 400 CO-8 likely voters; live interview) projects state Representative Gabe Evans (R-Westminster) to have secured a 43-38% ballot test advantage over freshman Rep. Yadira Caraveo (D-Thornton). This, in a district the FiveThirtyEight data organization rates as R+3. The Dave’s Redistricting App statisticians, however, calculate a different 48.3D – 47.0R partisan lean. In 2020, President Biden carried the district 50.8 – 46.3%.
The 8th CD was created through 2020 national reapportionment since Colorado gained a seat and was drawn as a suburban/outer-suburban district to the north and northeast of Denver. This race will be rated as a toss-up campaign all the way through the November election. NJ-10: Rep. Donald Payne, Jr. Passes Away: New Jersey US Rep. Donald Payne, Jr. (D-Newark), who suffered a heart attack on April 9th and unfortunately did not recover, passed away yesterday. His death means there are now six vacant congressional seats thus reducing the total membership number to 429. Since candidate filing is closed for the regular cycle and Rep. Payne is the only candidate on the ballot for the 10th District Democratic primary, he will posthumously win the nomination contest. According to a story in the New Jersey Globe newspaper, once all candidates are certified for the general election by the June 17th deadline after the June 4th primary election, the Secretary of State will declare the seat vacant. The various Democratic county party committee members would then meet in convention to choose a replacement nominee. Gov. Phil Murphy (D) has leeway regarding calling a special election for purposes of filling the remainder of the current term. He can schedule a special primary and general within the time limits proscribed by New Jersey election law, or he can make the special general concurrent with the regular election. The 10th District is heavily Democratic, so the party’s new nomination process will decide who succeeds the late Congressman Payne. NY-1: Ex-Rep. Santos Drops New Bid: Earlier this week, expelled US Rep. George Santos (R) announced that he is dropping his Independent bid in the state’s 1st District, attempting to deny Rep. Nick LaLota (R-Suffolk County) re-election. In his statement, Mr. Santos said, “I don't want to split the ticket and be responsible for handing the House to the Dems. Staying in this race all but guarantees a victory for the Dems." Mr. Santos may be overestimating his ability to draw votes as an Independent or minor party candidate. Rep. LaLota, in a post on X, said he believes Santos ending his candidacy means he is negotiating a plea bargain to the 23 federal charges he soon faces in trial. In closing, Mr. Santos indicated that, "it's only goodbye for now, I'll be back." Rep. LaLota, in a district that the new redistricting plan made slightly more Republican, is favored for re-election. Comments are closed.
|
The Rundown BlogLearn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States. Archives
May 2024
Categories
All
|
|
BIPAC© 2022 BIPAC. All rights reserved
|