CA-20: Top Contender Disqualified: Because state Assemblyman Vincent Fong (R-Bakersfield) had filed for re-election and the Secretary of State officially accepted his documents, the state’s chief elections officer ruled on Friday that Mr. Fong is ineligible to switch to the open congressional race. Therefore, despite his endorsement from outgoing Congressman Kevin McCarthy (R-Bakersfield), Mr. Fong will apparently not be on the congressional ballot.
This leaves the GOP field to Tulare County Sheriff Mike Boudreaux, who is president of the California Sheriffs Association, businessman David Giglio, businessman and former congressional candidate Matt Stoll, and casino owner Kyle Kirkland. The 20th District is the safest Republican seat in the California delegation. Seeing the all-party jungle primary produce a double Republican general election appears a distinct possibility. GA-3: Rep. Drew Ferguson to Retire: Georgia US Rep. Drew Ferguson (R-The Rock/ Carrollton) announced on Friday that he will not seek a fifth term in the House, saying that “Georgia is a special place, and it’s calling us home.” Mr. Ferguson, first elected in 2016, served two terms as the Republican Chief Deputy Whip and is a member of the House Ways & Means Committee. He averaged 66.9% of the vote in his four successful congressional campaigns. The 3rd District hugs the Alabama border in western Georgia, and lies among the cities of Atlanta, Columbus, and Macon. GA-3 is the third strongest Republican congressional seat in the Peach State. The FiveThirtyEight data organization rates the district as R+38, while the Daily Kos Elections statisticians rank the seat as the 51st safest in the Republican Conference. Donald Trump defeated President Biden here 64-34% in the 2020 election. Rep. Ferguson’s successor will be decided in the Republican nomination process. GA-3 becomes the 37th open US House seat headed to the next election. North Carolina: Candidate Filing Closes: The candidate filing period for North Carolina’s March 5th primary closed on Friday, and we now see a slate of contenders in the newly drawn congressional seats. The state also features an open Governor’s race, but no US Senate campaign in 2024. Republicans filed contenders in all 14 Tar Heel State CDs, but two Republicans will run unopposed unless the Democrats can petition a candidate on the ballot. Rep. Greg Murphy (R-Greenville) in the 3rd District and the eventual nominee in the Greensboro anchored 6th (Rep. Kathy Manning-D retiring), saw no Democratic candidate file. One of the most competitive seats for the general election appears to be District 1 where freshman Rep. Don Davis (D-Snow Hill) sees his new CD yield only a 50-49% victory for President Biden in 2020, though Dave’s Redistricting App calculates a slightly more favorable Democratic overall partisan lean, 50.9D – 47.7R. The likely Republican nominee here is former congressional candidate Sandy Smith. Hotly contested Republican primaries will occur in the open 6th, 8th (Rep. Dan Bishop-R running for Attorney General), 10th (Rep. Patrick McHenry-R retiring), 13th (Rep. Wiley Nickel-D retiring), and 14th (Rep. Jeff Jackson-D running for Attorney General) districts. Under NC voting laws, a runoff occurs only if a candidate fails to break 30% of the original primary vote. Comments are closed.
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