Arkansas: Rare Data:
It has been assumed that Sen. John Boozman (R) secured a third term in office when he won his contested Republican primary back in March. A Hendrix College/Talk Business Net survey, from the organizations that regularly sponsor Arkansas political polls, finds Mr. Boozman in predictably strong shape for the November election. The survey (9/12; 835 AR likely general election voters) gives the Senator a 44-31% advantage over civil rights activist and realtor Natalie James (D).
Arizona: Two Pollsters, Same Tight Result:
The Trafalgar Group’s new Arizona survey (9/14-17; 1,080 AZ likely general election voters; multiple sampling techniques) sees Sen. Mark Kelly’s (D) previously large lead dwindling to 47-45% over Republican venture capitalist Blake Masters.
Earlier in September, Emerson College (9/6-7; 627 AZ likely general election voters; multiple sampling techniques) arrived at exactly the same conclusion: Sen. Kelly leading 47-45%. Remembering that the 2020 Senate race closed quickly against Kelly, limiting him to a 51-49% victory over appointed Sen. Martha McSally (R) after leading by an average margin of 6.6% through 21 October polls according to the Real Clear Politics polling archives, the 2022 race looks to be headed toward a very interesting conclusion.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.