Arizona: Robson Won’t Run: Former University of Arizona Regent Karrin Taylor Robson (R), who lost a 48-43% gubernatorial Republican primary to Kari Lake in 2022, announced yesterday that she would not enter what will be a three-way Senate race among the eventual GOP nominee, Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, and who appears to be a consensus Democratic candidate, US Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Phoenix). Ms. Lake is a likely GOP Senate candidate.
The Arizona race continues to evolve as possibly the most interesting campaign in the election cycle considering it yields a three-way contest where each of the major candidates, Sen. Sinema, Rep. Gallego, and the undetermined Republican will have a legitimate path to victory. California: Second Poll Confirms First: A second California Senate poll released in consecutive days, this one from the University of California at Berkeley for the Los Angeles Times (5/17-22; 7,465 CA registered voters; 5,236 likely jungle primary voters; online), found similar results to Rep. Barbara Lee’s (D-Oakland) internal data from the FM3, Evitarus, and HIT Strategies research firms that was released on Wednesday. Like in the Lee survey, Republican Eric Early is the jungle primary leader. The LA Times/UC survey finds him attracting 18% support, with Rep. Katie Porter (D-Irvine) close behind at 17%. Following are Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Burbank) and Ms. Lee who post 14 and 9%, respectively. The Lee poll found a 27-24-21-11% division in the same order but Mr. Early posting a larger margin. Texas: First 2024 Senate Poll Released: Building upon Rep. Colin Allred’s (D-Dallas) US Senate announcement, the University of Texas at Tyler’s recent poll (5/10-21; 1,413 TX registered voters; live interview & online) finds Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading his probable general election opponent, 42-37%. If Texas polling history remains constant in 2024, we can expect relatively close ballot tests reported throughout this campaign between the two-term incumbent and Rep. Allred, with Sen. Cruz in the end winning with a larger margin than forecast. Comments are closed.
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