California: New GOP Primary Data Shows Big Change: The University of California at Berkeley’s Institute for Government Studies surveyed the California electorate and found a major change from their February poll. This new survey (5/11-17; 7,465 CA registered voters; 1,853 registered Republicans; online) projects former President Donald Trump moving into a big lead over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, which is a marked change from February when the reverse was true.
According to the ballot test results, Mr. Trump holds a 44-26% lead over Gov. DeSantis with no other candidate even reaching 5%. In February, Gov. DeSantis led 39-27%. The surprising data point is that both candidates still maintain very high favorability indexes from the California GOP electorate, unusual when one candidate has such a big lead. Mr. Trump holds a 74:23% favorable to unfavorable ratio while Gov. DeSantis registered 75:15%. It is important to remember, however, that California uses a congressional district delegate apportionment system, so the statewide numbers are less important than in other places. Iowa: Trump Leading Big in New Poll: The latest Emerson College survey of Republican potential Iowa Caucus voters (5/19-22; 442 IA likely GOP caucus voters; multiple sampling techniques) gives former President Donald Trump a huge 62-20% advantage over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, with no other candidate reaching 6%. It is important for DeSantis to do well in the early nomination events if he is to overtake Mr. Trump but starting this far behind makes his task all the more difficult. Comments are closed.
|
The Rundown BlogLearn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States. Archives
April 2024
Categories
All
|
|
BIPAC© 2022 BIPAC. All rights reserved
|