Monmouth Poll: Trump Continues to Lead National Poll: Monmouth University went into the field with a very small sample of US Republican primary voters (3/16-20; 521 US likely Republican primary voters; live interview & online) and again finds former President Donald Trump holding the advantage. Like in many of the polls, however, Mr. Trump is below the majority support line (50%), and he and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis are pulling away from the other tested individuals.
According to the Monmouth data, Mr. Trump leads Gov. DeSantis, 44-36%, with former Vice President Mike Pence and ex-UN Ambassador and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley trailing with 7 and 6% respectively. The results are typical for what we are seeing elsewhere in national polling. It is important to remember, however, that the national polls do not provide us with a clear indication as to who might prevail in a political contest where the results are decided with delegate votes earned in every state primary or caucus. Based upon available state totals, Gov. DeSantis fares better in the more important state-by-state count. Gov. Chris Sununu: Still Not Definitive: New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu (R) is still not providing straight answers about whether he will run for President, seek re-election to an unprecedented fifth term as Governor, or retire from politics. The Governor yesterday said he would decide later in the year if he would run for President. Mr. Sununu’s main advantage is that he governs the first Republican primary state, and therefore can wait to a late date and still enter the race as a main competitor. His hope would be to claim the New Hampshire primary, in a place where he is already extremely well known, and use such a victory to catapult him into the top tier of presidential candidates. This is a risky strategy that political history suggests will not be successful. Even if not, however, Gov. Sununu could still pivot after the presidential race and run again for Governor since the New Hampshire primary is one of the nation’s latest, typically scheduled for mid-September. Additionally, the state is only one of two, Vermont being the other, that holds its Governors elections every two years. While Gov. Sununu has won four elections, he is only in his seventh year of service. Yet, he is only the second Governor in state history to win four consecutive statewide elections. The other is Democrat John Lynch, who served from 2005-2013. Comments are closed.
|
The Rundown BlogLearn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States. Archives
April 2024
Categories
All
|
|
BIPAC© 2022 BIPAC. All rights reserved
|