National Polling: Biden Weak Among Dem Voters: While First Lady Jill Biden was questioning over the weekend why people are not fully believing that President Biden is running for re-election when he has repeatedly said that he is, national Democratic primary voter polling since the 2022 election suggests internal weakness for the party’s incumbent. Though Democrats generally rate his job performance as very positive, a large percentage would also prefer another candidate run in 2024.
For example, the new California Field Poll conducted at the University of California at Berkeley (2/14-20; 7,512 CA registered voters; online) finds 86% of the state’s Democrats approving of President Biden’s job performance, but only 57% of this same segment favor him running for re-election. Four national Democratic primary polls have been conducted since the 2022 election from Emerson College, YouGov, Reuters/Ipsos, and Harvard University/Harris and just among Democrats, President Biden only scores between 35-42% preference within a hypothetical field of notable Democratic potential candidates. Though this suggests weakness for renomination, it doesn’t appear that the President will face major intra-party competition as he begins his 2024 campaign. California: DeSantis Leads Trump: The California Field Poll conducted at the University of California at Berkeley (2/14-20; 7,512 CA registered voters; 1,755 CA self-identified Republican voters; online) also looked at the Republican presidential field. The statewide totals find Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, an unannounced candidate for president, topping former President Donald Trump, 37-29%, with former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley recording 7% preference. All other potential Republican candidates score support figures of 4% or less. The important point to remember about the California Republican nomination system is that the state selects delegates through its 52 congressional districts. Therefore, though DeSantis may be leading in the statewide count, the nomination battle is determined through the votes tabulated in the individual congressional districts. This system could make the California primary a wild card state on Super Tuesday. Comments are closed.
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