Public Policy Polling went into the field to test the Republican special election candidates two weeks before the May 14th primary vote. The survey (4/29-30; 592 NC-9 likely GOP primary voters) finds state Senator Dan Bishop (R-Charlotte) positioned with a chance not only to finish first in the field of ten candidates but potentially exceeding the 30% threshold to win the party nomination outright.
The poll totals show Sen. Bishop attracting 31% support with his next closest rival, Union County Supervisor Stony Rushing, garnering 17%. Realtor Leigh Brown, who the national Realtors PAC is spending over $1.2 million in a support independent expenditure operation, could be the wild card. Sitting at 6%, the outside resources could be enough to push her into second place while denying Sen. Bishop the plurality victory.
If a run-off is necessitated, the vote will be scheduled for September 10th. If the Republicans nominate a candidate on May 14th, the special general then occupies the 9/10 date. Otherwise, the general will be held November 5th. Democrat Dan McCready is unopposed for the party nomination, so he will automatically advance into the special general. The seat is vacant because voter fraud allegations kept the 2018 election result from being certified.
The Rundown Blog
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