A new WPA Intelligence survey (8/12-14; 501 MO likely voters) posts Attorney General Josh Hawley (R) to his strongest lead over Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) since a Gravis Marketing survey found him trending seven points ahead back in May. According to WPA, the first-term AG has opened a 48-41% advantage over the two-term incumbent Senator. This is a major increase since WPA’s mid-July poll that found Mr. Hawley ahead just 43-42%.
Though this poll finds Hawley in stronger position that the other recent pollsters, two others in July and August also see a tight race with no particular advantage for the Democratic incumbent. Democratic pollster TJP Strategies for the Missouri Scout political blog (8/8-9; 1,785 MO voters) found the two candidates tied at 47%, while an early July Remington Research study (7/7-8; 1,034 MO voters) projected Hawley to a 48-46% edge.
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