Survey USA recently tested the Maine electorate (8/24-31; 1,425 ME adults; 1,242 ME registered voters; 501 ME Democratic primary voters; live interview and online panel) and found Gov. Janet Mills (D) in a somewhat vulnerable position as she prepares to run for a second term. Against former Gov. Paul LePage (R), who has returned to the state after moving to Florida and is reportedly planning to run though he has made no formal announcement, Gov. Mills records only a 46-41% advantage.
After the pollsters asked voters push questions measuring support or opposition to ten different measures that state Senate President Troy Jackson (D-Allagash) strongly backed and Gov. Mills vetoed, a second ballot test was asked. After asking the push questions to Democratic primary voters, Sen. Jackson would lead Gov. Mills 44-34% in a hypothetical vote. Prior to the push questions being asked, Gov. Mills held a 56-23% Democratic primary lead over Sen. Jackson. The push questions also helped Mr. LePage top Gov. Mills in their second ballot test, 44-42%. Sen. Jackson, post push questions, would open a large lead against ex-Gov. LePage, 51-35%, in a hypothetical general election pairing.
The Survey USA pollsters were careful, however, in mentioning that the push questions contained no negative information about Sen. Jackson, meaning that these results are not an objective projection over election outcomes for June and November of next year.
The Rundown Blog
Learn more about the candidates running in key elections across the United States.