Chicago: Closing Mayoral Poll Suggests Defeat for Incumbent Lori Lightfoot: The Chicago non-partisan mayoral primary is tomorrow, and a closing poll from M3 Strategies (2/20-21; 450 Chicago likely voters) gives former Chicago Schools CEO Paul Vallas a substantial lead with 32% of the vote. Mr. Vallas is a Democrat but widely seen as the most conservative candidate in the nine-person field. Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson, who Reps. Jonathan Jackson (D-Chicago) and Delia Ramirez (D-Chicago) support, is second with an 18% support factor. Mayor Lightfoot now trails with only 14% backing, and Rep. Jesus “Chuy” Garcia (D-Chicago), who once led the race, drops all the way back to fourth position at 12% preference. Though all the candidates are relatively close, the poll shows the real possibility that Mayor Lightfoot would fail to qualify for the runoff election. The city is reporting that over 210,000 mail ballots have been requested. Since the ballots may be postmarked on election day, February 28th, it could be several days before final tallies are reported. Under Chicago election law, however, mail ballots received before election may be counted early and added to the initial public reports on election night. If no candidate receives majority support in tomorrow’s election, which is a virtual certainty, the top two finishers will advance to an April 4th runoff contest. Comments are closed.
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