CA-3: Republican Kevin Kiley Declared Winner: The Associated Press, in a race that appeared to be clinched days ago, finally projected California Republican state Assemblyman Kevin Kiley (R-Granite Bay/Sacramento) as the winner of the newly created open 3rd Congressional District that stretches from the northern Sacramento suburbs all the way into southern California via the Nevada border. The FiveThirtyEight data organization rates CA-3 as a R+8 district, so the outcome of Mr. Kiley defeating Democratic physician and Iraq War veteran Kermit Jones is hardly a surprise result.
The Kiley victory brings the Republican House total to 221 with two races outstanding, the CA-13 seat that is a close contest between agri-businessman John Duarte (R) and state Assemblyman Adam Gray (D-Merced), and the at-large Alaska seat of Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Bethel).
Once the Alaska contest advances into the Ranked Choice Voting rounds, which will be right after Thanksgiving, the system will produce another victory for Ms. Peltola. Therefore, count her in the Democratic column. The race between Messrs. Duarte and Gray is very tight: Mr. Duarte has an 852-vote lead with an estimated 93% of the vote counted. Therefore, this contest can still go either way when examining from where the outstanding votes lay.
Speakership: More Republicans Express Negative Views Toward McCarthy: Yesterday, we covered a story indicating that three Republicans were headed toward a “No” vote for House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) in his quest to become Speaker of the House. Reps. Andy Biggs (R-AZ) and Matt Gaetz (R-FL) publicly announced their opposition to Mr. McCarthy, while Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-MT) said he does not believe Mr. McCarthy would be a successful Speaker.
Now joining the “No” chorus are Reps. Ralph Norman (R-SC) and Bob Good (R-VA). Texas Rep. Chip Roy (R-Austin) was among those expressing similar feelings of failure regarding a McCarthy Speakership. With the Republicans having a 222-member conference at best (if John Duarte holds his lead in the CA-13 outstanding race), Mr. McCarthy has little margin with which to play in order to secure his 218 votes to be elected Speaker during the January 3rd initial roll call of members.
The Rundown Blog
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